Direct Indexing Advisor Match

Direct Indexing in Texas: The 23.8% Math and Who It Still Works For

Texas investors hear a familiar question: "Does direct indexing even make sense here?" At a 23.8% combined federal rate — no state income tax means no state capital gains either — each harvested dollar saves less than it does in California or New York City. The break-even hurdle is real. But for four specific groups — energy professionals with lumpy K-1 gains, California transplants with RSU vesting, tech executives at Austin's major campuses, and concentrated-stock holders — direct indexing still generates meaningful after-fee wealth even at the lower rate. This guide shows the math honestly and identifies where the Texas case is compelling and where it isn't.

The Texas capital gains rate stack

Texas imposes no state income tax and no state capital gains tax of any kind. Long-term capital gains are taxed exclusively at the federal level.1

Tax componentRateApplies when...
Federal LTCG20%Taxable income above $545,500 (single) / $613,700 (MFJ) in 2026
Federal NIIT3.8%MAGI above $200,000 (single) / $250,000 (MFJ) — not inflation-adjusted
Texas state tax0%No state income tax; no state capital gains tax
Combined LT cap gains rate — top bracket23.8%Texas investor with MAGI above $250K MFJ, taxable income above $613,700 MFJ
Federal LTCG — mid bracket15%Taxable income $96,700–$613,700 (MFJ)
Combined LT rate — mid bracket18.8%TX investor above NIIT threshold but below 20% cap gains threshold

The 23.8% combined rate is the floor for wealthy Texas investors — the same number that investors in every no-income-tax state face. By comparison, top-bracket California investors pay 37.1%, a 56% higher rate on the same gain. This difference is real and changes the DI calculus substantially, but it doesn't eliminate the case for DI — it just raises the bar.

State comparison: Texas vs. high-tax states

StateCombined LT cap gains rateNotes
Texas / Florida / Nevada23.8%No state income tax — federal only
Colorado28.2%4.4% flat state rate
Massachusetts (below ~$1.1M)28.8%5% flat rate
Illinois28.75%4.95% flat rate
Massachusetts (above ~$1.1M)32.8%5% + 4% surtax
New Jersey (top bracket)34.55%10.75% top rate, all gains as ordinary income
Washington State (above $1M)33.7%9.9% excise tax on capital gains
Oregon (Portland area)37.7%9.9% state + local surtaxes
California (top bracket)37.1%13.3% state, no LT preference
New York City (top bracket)37.3%–38.6%NY state + NYC city tax

Does direct indexing break even in Texas?

The core DI economic question is whether annual tax alpha — harvest rate × tax rate — exceeds the platform fee premium over a low-cost ETF. In Texas, with a 23.8% rate, the numbers are tighter than in high-tax states.

Annual harvest rateTax alpha in TX (23.8%)Tax alpha in CA (37.1%)Net after 0.25% fee premium (TX)Net after 0.25% fee premium (CA)
0.75%0.179%0.278%–0.071% (negative)+0.028%
1.05%0.250%0.390%0% (breakeven)+0.140%
1.5%0.357%0.557%+0.107%+0.307%
2.0%0.476%0.742%+0.226%+0.492%

Break-even assumes 0.25% annual fee premium of DI platform over a low-cost ETF (e.g., Schwab DI at 0.40% vs. Vanguard Total Market ETF at ~0.03%). Harvest rates vary with market volatility. In active markets, harvest rates of 1.5–2.0% are achievable; in flat markets, they may fall below 1.0%.

The break-even harvest rate in Texas at a 0.25% fee premium is 1.05% per year. In California, the break-even is only 0.67%. This means Texas investors need more market volatility — or a lower-cost platform — to capture the same net benefit that California investors get more easily.

Two ways Texas investors improve the math: (1) Choose a lower-cost platform. At Frec's 0.09% fee (versus an ETF baseline of ~0.03%), the fee premium is only 0.06% — and break-even falls to a 0.25% harvest rate, well within any normal market. (2) Identify a specific gain event to offset (a business sale, MLP K-1 realization, RSU tranche) where the tax savings are concrete and large rather than relying on average annual harvesting alone.

Annual dollar benefit by portfolio size: Texas vs. California

At a 1.5% harvest rate and 0.25% fee premium, Texas investors still build meaningful absolute dollar savings at larger portfolio sizes — just less than in California.

Portfolio sizeAnnual harvest (1.5%)Tax savings in TX (23.8%)Tax savings in CA (37.1%)Fee premium (0.25%)Net in TXNet in CA
$250,000$3,750$893$1,391$625+$268+$766
$500,000$7,500$1,785$2,783$1,250+$535+$1,533
$1,000,000$15,000$3,570$5,565$2,500+$1,070+$3,065
$2,000,000$30,000$7,140$11,130$5,000+$2,140+$6,130
$5,000,000$75,000$17,850$27,825$12,500+$5,350+$15,325

Assumes 1.5%/year harvest rate and 0.25% DI fee premium over ETF. Actual harvest rates vary with market conditions. At $5M, a Texas investor still keeps roughly $5,350/year after fees — comparable to what a $1.75M California portfolio generates. The absolute dollar benefit is real at larger portfolio sizes, even if the percentage return is lower.

When direct indexing still makes clear sense in Texas

1. Energy sector: MLP K-1 income and equity compensation

Houston and Midland energy professionals face a category of capital gain that's both large and unpredictable: K-1 income from master limited partnership (MLP) investments. Unlike W-2 income, MLP K-1 allocations arrive late (often February or March), include complex character breakdowns — §1231 gains, §1250 recapture, ordinary income reallocations — and can generate capital gain events well into six figures in any given year.

Energy company equity compensation (ExxonMobil, ConocoPhillips, Pioneer (now ExxonMobil), Halliburton, Schlumberger, Enterprise Products Partners for directors) creates a similar dynamic: large tranches of RSU vesting or performance unit payouts that, once they become long-term capital gains at disposition, generate six-figure LTCG events at 23.8%.

For these investors, the DI strategy is straightforward: build a loss bank in the two to three years before a known large K-1 realization or stock sale. A $2M DI account generating 1.5% in annual harvesting creates a $30,000 loss bank each year. Deployed against a $250,000 MLP capital gain event, those losses reduce the tax bill by $7,140 in a single year — net of any fee premium, that's clear economic value.

2. California transplants with RSU vesting

Austin's tech growth has attracted thousands of former California residents who relocated from the Bay Area, Los Angeles, and San Diego — often keeping their jobs at California-headquartered companies (Apple, Google, Oracle, HP, Tesla, Salesforce). These investors face a nuanced transition:

The CA-to-TX migration calculus: A tech executive who moved from San Francisco to Austin in 2024 with $3M in unvested RSU shares will eventually sell those shares at 23.8% (23.8% not 37.1%) after a holding period. At $3M in appreciation, that's a $399,600 federal-only tax bill versus $630,000 in California — a $230,400 difference. A DI account deployed over the next 5 years to offset annual LTCG events at 23.8% compounds those savings further.

3. Austin and Dallas tech executives

Texas is now home to major technology campuses with thousands of highly-compensated employees. Dell Technologies is headquartered in Round Rock; Oracle relocated its headquarters to Austin in 2021; HP Enterprise has its headquarters in Houston; AT&T, American Airlines, and ExxonMobil (Irving) drive additional high-income HNW households in the Dallas–Fort Worth area; Tesla's Gigafactory employs thousands of engineers in Austin; and Apple, Google, and Amazon have large Austin and Dallas offices.

For these employees, the RSU holder strategy is the same as in other states — build a loss bank, configure an employer-stock exclusion screen, use DI losses to offset gain-recognition events from selling older RSU tranches. The specific consideration in Texas: because the combined rate is 23.8%, the minimum threshold where the math is clearly positive is roughly $500K in taxable assets with a well-run, low-cost DI account.

4. Business founders with §1202 QSBS or non-QSBS proceeds

Texas conforms entirely to federal §1202 QSBS rules (there is no state income tax to apply different treatment, unlike California's notorious QSBS nonconformity problem). A Texas-domiciled founder who satisfies the OBBBA-enhanced 100% QSBS exclusion at the 5-year hold threshold owes zero federal or state capital gains tax on that portion.2

Where DI matters for Texas founders:

When direct indexing probably doesn't make sense in Texas

The lower rate creates situations where DI doesn't clear the economic hurdle:

No Texas estate tax: how it changes the §1014 strategy

Unlike Oregon (where estates above $1M trigger a state estate tax) or Massachusetts (where estates above $2M do), Texas has no state estate tax. Combined with the OBBBA's permanent $15M federal estate and gift exemption, most Texas HNW households will not owe any estate tax on assets passed to heirs.3

This changes the §1014 step-up calculus slightly. The step-up in basis at death eliminates embedded capital gains tax completely for the beneficiary — and in Texas, that eliminates only the 23.8% federal rate (not a combined rate of 37%+). For estates clearly under $15M federal, the estate-tax-motivated planning argument for DI ("harvest losses in life, step up gains at death") is weaker than in states with estate taxes. The DI strategy still makes sense for cash flow reasons — deferring gains is valuable regardless of what happens at death — but the estate-interaction story isn't as compelling in Texas as it is in estate-tax states.

Platform selection for Texas investors

Cost-efficiency matters more in Texas than in high-tax states because the margin between tax alpha and fee premium is narrower.

General principle for Texas: if you don't have K-1 income, concentrated stock, or an employer-stock wash-sale problem, a lower-cost self-service platform (Frec, Wealthfront) is the economically correct choice. If you do have planning complexity, the advisor-coordinated platforms often increase the harvest rate enough to justify their fees — turning a marginal break-even into a clear positive.

Sources

  1. IRS Topic No. 409 — Capital Gains and Losses. 2026 federal LTCG rates: 0% / 15% / 20% at thresholds per IRS Rev. Proc. 2025-32. Top rate (20%) applies at taxable income above $545,500 (single) / $613,700 (MFJ). NIIT of 3.8% per IRC §1411 applies to MAGI above $200,000 (single) / $250,000 (MFJ). Texas imposes no state income tax; no state capital gains adjustment applies.
  2. IRS — Qualified Small Business Stock Gains Exclusion (Section 1202). OBBBA (One Big Beautiful Bill Act, July 2025) permanently increased the QSBS exclusion cap to $15M and modified holding period thresholds (50/75/100% at 3/4/5-year holds). Texas has no state income tax, so the full federal QSBS exclusion applies with no state-level reduction (contrast with California's §18152.5 nonconformity).
  3. Tax Foundation — Does Your State Have an Estate or Inheritance Tax?. Texas has no state estate tax and no state inheritance tax. Federal estate tax exemption: $15M per person in 2026 under OBBBA permanent increase. Amounts above $15M are taxed at 40% federal rate.
  4. Tax Foundation — 2026 State Income Tax Rates and Brackets. Texas confirms as a zero-income-tax state for 2026. Overview of state capital gains treatment across all 50 states used for rate comparison table.
  5. IRC § 1411 — Imposition of Tax (Net Investment Income Tax). 3.8% NIIT on net investment income including capital gains. Thresholds: $200,000 (single) / $250,000 (MFJ) — statutory, not adjusted for inflation. Applies to all U.S. investors regardless of state of domicile.
  6. Texas Comptroller of Public Accounts — Texas Taxes. Confirmation that Texas imposes no individual income tax or capital gains tax. Texas does impose a franchise tax on businesses but this does not apply to individual investment portfolios or personal capital gains.

Federal LTCG thresholds and NIIT parameters verified against 2026 IRS Rev. Proc. 2025-32 and IRS Rev. Proc. guidance. Texas zero-income-tax status confirmed via Texas Comptroller. Break-even analysis assumes 0.25% DI fee premium over a low-cost index ETF; actual fee differentials depend on platform selection. Harvest rate estimates (1.5%/year) are illustrative — actual rates vary with portfolio size, volatility, and platform algorithm. This page is informational only and does not constitute financial, tax, or legal advice.

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Texas's 23.8% combined rate raises the break-even bar — but for investors with energy K-1 income, large RSU vesting, a pending business sale, or $1M+ in taxable assets, direct indexing still generates thousands in annual after-tax wealth. A specialist can model your specific income mix, equity comp schedule, and portfolio size to show whether the math works for your situation before you commit to a platform. Free match, no obligation.

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